ASC2010 Presentations

 

Keynote Speakers

Day One - Session 1

Barry Marshall FRS, FAA, Nobel Laureate 2005, Official Opening,

Denise Lievesley, Kings College London, UK, AMSI Lecturer  "Trustworthy statistics - a shared responsibility"

Jerry Friedman, Standford University, USA, "Importance sampling: An alternative view of ensemble learning"

David Smith, Department of the Premier and Cabinet, WA, "Better use of information in Government Policy"

Nicky Cusworth, Department of State Development, WA, "Development policy in a world of imperfect information"

Jim Codde, WA Department of Health, "Planning for Health"

Geoff Allen, AM., Chairman of the Australian Statistics Advisory Council, "Crisp revisited: Effectiveness and efficiency in Australian official statistics"

Tony Meissner, Department for Water, Land and Biodiversity Conservation, "Three statistical models of the impact of the Woolpunda Salt Interception Scheme on in-stream salinity in the River Murray"

Daniel E. Pagendam, CSIRO Mathematics, Informatics and Statistics, "Use of stochastic differential equations for estimation in hydrology"

Padmaja Ramankutty, The University of Western Australia, "Application of fitting and validating techniques in the development of statistical emulators for a complex plant growth model"

Han Lin Shang, Department of Econometrics & Business Statistics, Monash University, "Nonparametric modelling and forecasting electricity demand: an empirical study"

Muhammad Akram, Monash University, "Analysis of short interrupted time series using a marginal likelihood method"

Shen Liu, Monash University, "Evaluation of feature-based time series clustering"

David Scott, The University of Auckland, NZ "Numerical evaluation of the CDF and quantile functions for the generalized hyperbolic and related distributions"

Kerrie Mengersen, Queensland University of Technology,  "Using model choice methods for model choice in mixtures – a Bayesian perspective"

Philip Crouch, Australian Bureau of Statistics, "Producing state level estimates of hours worked"

Stephen Horn, Dept. of Families, Housing, Community Services and Indigenous Affairs, "The statistics of evidence: applying a risk-ethics framework to policy setting"

Timothy Kyng, Macquarie University, "Graduates’ use of software for quantitative analysis in the financial services workplace"

Geoffrey Brent, Australian Bureau of Statistics, "Modelling operational costs in the monthly population survey"

Carl Mackin, Australian Bureau of Statistics, "Efficient editing for price index collections"

Julian Taylor, CSIRO, SA, "Mixed model variable selection (MMVS): An application of QTL analysis with complex mixed models"

James Doecke, CSIRO, QLD, "A suite of variable selection methods to identify a shortlist of protein biomarkers Presented by Norm Good"

Belal Hossain, University of Southern Queensland, "A statistical methodology for ordinal data in meta-analysis" -

Rui Wang, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard School of Public Health, "Nonparametric inference procedure for random effects Meta analysis"

Klairung Samart, Centre for Statistical and Survey Methodology, University of Wollongong, "Fitting linear mixed models using probabilistically linked data"

Lyle Gurrin, Melbourne School of Population Health, "Estimation of between-and within-pair regression effects in logistic regression with shared measurement error"

 

Day One - Session 2

Nicola Armstrong, Garvan Institute of Medical Research, Sydney.

Denise Lievesley,Head of School of Social Science and Public Policy, King's College, London, UK.

Kevin Wang, Health and Human Services practice under the Government Advisory Services at KPMG.Previous National Young Stats Chair.

Alex Maund, Data Analysis Australia

Muhammad Hisyam Lee, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Malaysia, "An exponential weighted fuzzy time series approach for forecasting tourist arrivals"

Utriweni Mukhaiyar, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Indonesia, "The convergence of least square estimator for first order generalized STAR (GSTAR) model"

Ross Bowden, Murdoch University, "Estimation of a common model for replicated time series realisations"

Diane Hindmarsh, University of Wollongong, "Developing small area estimates for a state health survey"

Donna Hill, Data Analysis Australia, Perth, "Incorporating risk in strategic decision making processes"

Thathya Venu Ariyaratne, Monash University,  "An Australian risk prediction model for determining early mortality following aortic valve replacement"

Inge Koch, University of Wollongong, "Supervised prediction in regression and classification based on variable ranking and a select number of principal components"

Foon Lee Ng, Taylor's University College, Malaysia, "Testing the validity and reliability of student evaluation of teaching in accounting and finance programs"

Thomas Suesse, University of Wollongong, "Using social network information in survey estimation"

Anil Kumar, Australian Bureau of Statistics, "A methodology for decomposing age, period and cohort effects using pseudo-panel data to study children’s sports participation"

Yun Li, CSIRO Mathematics, Informatics and Statistics (CMIS),  "A statistical downscaling model for southern Australia winter rainfall"

Alex Maund, Data Analysis Australia, "Always take the weather (Data) with you"

Mark Palmer, CSIRO, Mathematics, Informatics and Statistics, "Rainfall depth area curves derived from a spatial-temporal model for extreme rainfall"

Jorge Navarro-Alberto, Universidad Autonoma de Yucatan, Mexico, "Perception of health risks by the use of pesticides in the ring of “Cenotes” (sinkholes) in the State of Yucatan, Mexico"

Elizabeth McKinnon, Murdoch University, "Utilizing retrospective matching in weighted Cox and Kaplan-Meier analyses of treatment strategies"

Serigne Lo, George Institute for Interational Health, Sydney,  "A seamless adaptive design with regimen selection in the unbalanced randomization ratio framework"

Qian Yang, National University of Singapore, Singapore, "Reusing prior controls in nested case-control studies: is it feasible?" (abstract not available)

Chris Wild, University of Auckland, NZ, "Improved efficiency in multi-phase case-control studies"

 

Day Two - Session 1

Gordon Smyth, Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical "Statistical inference with whole-genome transcriptional data"

Alan Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School, USA, "Using Hierarchical Models to Attribute Sources of Variation in Consumer Assessments of Health Care"

Julia Polak, Monash University,  "Bandwidth selection for kernel conditional density estimation using the MCMC method"

Qian Chen, University of Sydney, "Asymmetric volatility and dynamic skewness in Bayesian value-at-risk and expected short-fall forecasting model"

Mark Berman, CSIRO Mathematics, Informatics and Statistics, "Grouped subset selection"

Itsuki Uemizo, Chuo University, Japan, "An application of the sound recognition technique to the human action acknowledgment"

Taishi Watabe, Chuo University, Japan, "Localization algorithm in indoor environment based on the ToA data"

Alan Lee, University of Auckland, New Zealand, "Control charts for accident rates in the construction industry"

Luke Prendergast, La Trobe Univeristy, "Improving estimated sufficient summary plots using residual minimization"

Ute Mueller, Edith Cowan University,  "Geostatistical simulation of multivariate data using MAF and ACDC methods"

Andrew Powierski, Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, "Comparing SLK and name-based strategies for data linkage"

Gunky Kim, University of Wollongong, "Regression analysis using longitudinally linked data"

Paul Campbell, Australian Bureau of Statistics, "Maximum likelihood estimation for contingency tables and logistic regression with incorrectly linked data"

Norm Good, Australian e-Health Research Centre, "Merging Surveillance Data- an experience report"

Stephen Zubrick, Curtin Univeristy of Technolog, "Using record linkage to survey data to correct for under-identification of Aboriginal births on the WA birth registerPresented by David Lawrence"

Kym Butler, Department of Primary Industries, VIC, "Modelling survival of wild rabbits using time dependent individual covariates"

Khageswor Giri, Department of Primary Industries, VIC, "Does population density affect rabbit survival where rabbit haemorrhagic disease virus (RHDV) is endemic?"

Roger Littlejohn, AgResearch, New Zealand, "Habitat usage of extensively farmed red deer hinds in response to environmental factors over calving and lactation"

John Carlin, Murdoch Children's Research Institute & Univeristy of Melbourne, "Multiple imputation for missing data: the genie out of the bottle?"

Stephane Heritier, University of Sydney, "Robust methods in biostatistics"

Will Probert, University of Queensland, "Adaptive Bayesian clinical trials in conservation biology"

Rebecca O’Leary (Australian Institute of Marine Science) and Rebecca Fisher (James Cook University), "So how many species are there really? Expert elicitation of biodiversity on coral reefs"

Paul Rippon, University of Newcastle, "A smooth test of goodness of fit for generalized linear models"

Frank Tuyl, University of Newcastle, "Conditional confidence of binomial intervals"

Bhaskaran Nair, New Zealand Inland Revenue, NZ, "Multivariate statistics in tax administration"

Melanie Black, Australian Bureau of Statistics, "Modelling survey respondent behaviour: a survival analysis approach"

Frank Pega, Independent Researcher, NZ, "Sexual orientation data in official probability surveys: Finding from the sexual orientation data collection study, New Zealand"

David Lawrence, Curtin University of Technology and Telethon Institute for Child Health Research, "Multi-level modelling of data from a complex household survey: Application to the WA Aboriginal Child Health Survey"

Georgy Sofronov, Macquarie University, "Spatial models with complex contiguity matrices in small area estimation"

Jin Li, Geoscience Australia, "Can machine learning methods be applied for spatial predictions of environmental properties?"

Ian Renner, University of New South Wales, "MAXed out? Species distribution modelling with poisson point process models"

Yuichi Yano, Edith Cowan University, "Generalised linear modelling of the asthma hospitalization risk and air pollutant concentration in Perth"

Calum Brown, University of St Andrews, "Spatial point pattern analysis to investigate ecological processes"

Rohan Sadler, University of Western Australia, "Outbreak dynamics of an endemic horticultural pest of Eastern Australia"

Alan Brnabic, Intercontinental Information Sciences, Eli Lilly Australia Pty Ltd, "Statistical methodologies in the pharmaceutical industry: applications to commercialization in Eli Lilly"

Bendix Carstensen, Steno Diabetes Center, Denmark, "Models for method comparison studies"

Mark Griffin, Co-Chair of the SSAI Biostatistics Section, "Open discussion forum for SSAI biostatistics section activities"

 

Day Two - Session 2

Susanna Cramb, Viertel Centre for Rsearch in Cancer Control, Cancer Council Queensland, "Modelling geographic disparities in cancer outcomes in Queensland"

Louise Marquart, Queensland Institute of Medical Research, "Bayesian analysis of large scale quantitative trait loci data"

Margus Pihlak, Tallin University of Technology, "Using edgeworth expansion approximating two-and three-dimensional probability distribution functions"

Mark Lukas, Murdoch University, "Spline smoothing using robust generalized cross-validation"

Geoffrey Yeo, University of Western Australia, "Rediscovering results: first passage times for shot noise and dams"

Tony Pakes, University of Western Australia, "Generalized poisson laws are poisson mixtures"

Shelton Peiris, University of Sydney, "On generalized fractional processes with conditional heteroscedasticity"

Changying Shao, Edith Cowan University, "Spatial point pattern analysis of breast cancer mortality in Perth, 2005"

Kathy Haskard, University of Melbourne, "Modelling non-stationary spatial covariance by spectral tempering, with application to nitrous oxide emissions from soil"

Alex Stuckey, Australian Bureau of Statistics, "A single-index model for downscaling in a spatial setting"

Elizabeth Williamson, Monash University, "Investigating casual mechanisms of disease"

Ian James, Murdoch University, "Correlation estimation with bivariate censored data via alternating regressions"

 

Day Three - Session 1

Tadeusz Bednarski, University of Wroclaw, Poland, "Statistical inference based on Fréchet differentiability and applications"

Mohammad Al Kadiri, University of Ballarat, "Marginal longitudinal curves estimated via Bayesian penalized splines for unbalanced case"

Denny Meyer, Swinburne University of Technology, Melbourne, "Answering important but complicated questions: A study of the factors that influence resource use in Australian Cities"

Ningbo Jiang, New South Wales Department of Education and Training, "Classification of synoptic weather types over east Australia using two different objective procedures"

Robert Davy, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, "Exploring meteorological conditions related to wind farm power variability using machine learning"

Siva Ganesh, Massey University, NZ, "Classification of imbalanced data sets by using over-sampling algorithms based on complexity measure"

Anwar Saqr, University of Southern Queensland, "Estimation of regression parameters when measurement error in explanatory variable"

Justin Wishart, University of Sydney, "Kink estimation in stochastic regression with dependent errors and predictors"

Olena Kravchuk, University of Queensland, "About scale estimators for Cauchy distribution"

Steven Miller, University of Waikato, NZ, "Characterising the spread of Neolithic culture across Europe"

Tamie Anakotta, Australian Bureau of Statistics, "Sampling monitoring and adjustments for Indigenous Surveys"

Karuna Reddy, The University of Fiji, Japan, "Optimum stratification of skewed population using Weibull distribution with auxiliary information"

Nicole Watson, University of Melbourne, "The impact of introducing computer assisted personal interviewing to the HILDA survey"

Martin Caruso, Australian Bureau of Statistics, "Sampling and the real world"

Tomas Mrkvicka, University of South Bohemia, Czech Republic, "Goodness-of-fit test of the mark distribution in a point process with position dependent marks"

Richard Kenderdine, University of Wollongong, "Wavelet-based resampling of point processes"

David Warton, University of New South Wales, "Poisson point process models solve the “pseudo-absence problem” for presence-only data in ecology"

Jahar Bhowmik, Swinburne University of Technology, "Deriving tests of the semi-linear regression model using the density function of a maximal invariant"

Kenny Xu, "Fitting hazard models by maximizing the likelihood under dependent censoring"

Joshua Ross, "Household-level inference for emerging infections"

 

Day Four - Session 1

Chris Wild (University of Auckland)  “What I see is not quite the way it really is” http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~wild/10.wild.ASC.Keynote.pdf

Gentry White, University of Queensland, "Imputation of missing data in a self-exciting model for terrorist activity via Bayesian imputation and parallel likelihood computation"

Peter Dunn, University of the Sunsine Coast,  "The analysis of time-use data: An alternative to Tobit models"

Siok Kun Sek, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Malaysia, "Environmental convergence and sustainability: the case of Southeast Asia"

Dean Diepeveen, Department of Agriculture and Food, Government of Western Australia, "Understanding the genetic components of NIR spectra"

Anthony Goldbloom, Kaggle Pty Ltd, "Data prediction competitions: More than just a bit of fun"

Kim-Anh Do, Anderson Cancer Center, USA, "Bootstrap resampling and applications to high-dimensional bioinformatics data in cancer research"

Teresa Neeman, Australian National University, "A statistical method for analysis of gene expression data from RT-qPCR"

 

Day Four - Session 2

Martin Hazelton, Massey University, NZ, "Inference for dynamic traffic models"

Zamira Zamzuri, Macquarie University, "An alternative method for fitting a zero inflated negative binomial distribution"

Ken Russell, University of Wollongong, "Designs for experiments where observations are taken over time"

Hana Sakai and Emma Smith, Data Analysis, Australia, "Simulation of coal-barging on a river"

John Henstridge, Data Analysis, Australia, "Designing efficient but unbalanced choice experiments"

Khreshna Syuhada, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Indonesia, "On expected length of the improved prediction intervals for independent observations"

Berwin Turlach, University of Western Australia, "Semiparametric regression with shape constrained P-splines"

Nobutane Hanayama, Shobi Univeristy, Japan, "Hyperextended age period cohort analysis of (age, period)-tabulated data on breast cancer deaths for females in US and Japan"

Tung Pham, University of Wollongong, "Scaled squared distance-based classifiers for high dimensional low sample size data"